This important book, prepared under the direction of Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein, shows how economic forecasts are made. It explains how modern developments in information technology have made it possible to forecast frequently - at least monthly but also weekly or bi-weekly - depending upon the perceived needs of potential forecasts users but also on the availability of updated material. The book focuses on forecasts in a diverse range of economies including the United States, China, India, Russia, Germany, Japan, South Korea, and Turkey. At a time of great economic uncertainty, this book makes an important contribution by showing how new information technology can be used to prepare national economic forecasts.
CONTENTS
List of contributors
Preface
1. Background to national economic forecasts and the high-frequency model of the USA
2. Forecasting the sustainability of China’s economic performance: early twenty-fi rst century and beyond
3. The economic growth story in India: past, present and prospects for the future
4. High-frequency forecasting model for the Russian economy
5. Short-term forecasting of key indicators of the German economy
6. Mexico: current quarter forecasts
7. A high-frequency forecasting model and its application to the Japanese economy
8. The making of national economic forecasts: South Korea
9. Current quarter model for Turkey
10. Estimation of the US Treasury yield curve at daily and intra-daily frequency
11. Using data and models at mixed frequencies in computation and forecasting
12. Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Appendix
CONTENTS
List of contributors
Preface
1. Background to national economic forecasts and the high-frequency model of the USA
2. Forecasting the sustainability of China’s economic performance: early twenty-fi rst century and beyond
3. The economic growth story in India: past, present and prospects for the future
4. High-frequency forecasting model for the Russian economy
5. Short-term forecasting of key indicators of the German economy
6. Mexico: current quarter forecasts
7. A high-frequency forecasting model and its application to the Japanese economy
8. The making of national economic forecasts: South Korea
9. Current quarter model for Turkey
10. Estimation of the US Treasury yield curve at daily and intra-daily frequency
11. Using data and models at mixed frequencies in computation and forecasting
12. Using sentiment surveys to predict GDP growth and stock returns
Appendix
Páginas : 400
Peso : 12mb.
Formato : PDF.
Edición : Primera
Año de Publicación :2009
ISBN : 978-1847204899
Editorial : Edward Elgar Publishing Ltd
Autor: Lawrence R. Klein
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